ISIPTA'07 - FIFTH INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON
IMPRECISE PROBABILITY: THEORIES AND APPLICATIONS

Charles University, Faculty of Mathematicsand Physics
Prague, Czech Republic
16-19 July 2007

ELECTRONIC PROCEEDINGS

Lev Utkin, Sebastien Destercke

Computing expectations with p-boxes: two views of the same problem

Abstract

Given an imprecise probabilistic model over a continuous space, computing lower (upper) expectations is often computationally hard to achieve, even in simple cases. Building tractable methods to do so is thus a crucial point in applications. In this paper, we concentrate on p-boxes (a simple and popular model), and on lower expectations computed over non-monotone functions. For various particular cases, we propose tractable methods to compute approximations or exact values of these lower expectations. We found interesting to put in evidence and to compare two approaches: the first using general linear programming, and the second using the fact that p-boxes are special cases of random sets. We underline the complementarity of both approaches, as well as the differences.

Keywords. P-boxes, Random Sets, Linear programming, Lower/upper expectation, Optimization

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Authors addresses:

Lev Utkin
Institutski per. 5, 194021 St.Petersburg

Sebastien Destercke
CE Cadarache, bat 702
13115 Saint-Paul-Lez-Durance CEDEX

E-mail addresses:

Lev Utkin lev.utkin@mail.ru
Sebastien Destercke desterck@irit.fr


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