IMPRECISE PROBABILITY: THEORIES AND APPLICATIONS

Durham, United Kingdom

Tuesday 14 to Saturday 18 July 2009

- Iterated Random Selection as Intermediate Between Risk and Uncertainty
*Horacio Arlo-Costa, Jeffrey Helzner*

- Closure of Independencies under Graphoid Properties: Some Experimental Results
*Marco Baioletti, Giuseppe Busanello, Barbara Vantaggi*

- Category Selection for Multinomial Data
*Rebecca Baker, Frank Coolen*

- Aggregating Imprecise Probabilistic Knowledge
*Alessio Benavoli, Alessandro Antonucci*

- Tests of the Mean with Distributional Uncertainty: An Info-Gap Approach
*Yakov Ben-Haim*

- On General Conditional Random Quantities
*Veronica Biazzo, Angelo Gilio, Giuseppe Sanfilippo*

- Approximation of Coherent Lower Probabilities by 2-Monotone Measures
*Andrew Bronevich, Thomas Augustin*

- On the Use of a New Discrepancy Measure to Correct Incoherent Assessments and to Aggregate Conflicting Opinions Based on Imprecise Conditional Probabilities
*Andrea Capotorti, Giuliana Regoli, Francesca Vattari*

- A Generalization of Credal Networks
*Marco Cattaneo*

- A Tree Augmented Classifier Based on Extreme Imprecise Dirichlet Model
*Giorgio Corani, Cassio Campos, Sun Yi*

- Sets of Desirable Gambles and Credal Sets
*Ines Couso, Serafín Moral*

- Concentration Inequalities and Laws of Large Numbers under Epistemic Irrelevance
*Fabio Cozman*

- Imprecise Markov Chains with an Absorbing State
*Richard Crossman, Pauline Coolen-Schrijner, Damjan kulj, Frank Coolen*

- Credal Semantics of Bayesian Transformations
*Fabio Cuzzolin*

- Consistent Approximations of Belief Functions
*Fabio Cuzzolin*

- Epistemic Irrelevance in Credal Networks: the Case of Imprecise Markov Trees
*Gert De Cooman, Filip Hermans, Alessandro Antonucci, Marco Zaffalon*

- Exchangeability for Sets of Desirable Gambles
*Gert De Cooman, Erik Quaeghebeur*

- Representing and Solving Factored Markov Decision Processes with Imprecise Probabilities
*Karina Delgado, Leliane Barros, Fabio Cozman, Ricardo Shirota Filho*

- The Role of Generalised p-Boxes in Imprecise Probability Models
*Sebastien Destercke, Didier Dubois*

- Boundary Linear Utility and Sensitivity of Decisions with Imprecise Utility Trade-off Parameters
*Malcolm Farrow, Michael Goldstein*

- Multivariate Models and Confidence Intervals: A Local Random Set Approach
*Thomas Fetz*

- A Minimum Distance Estimator in an Imprecise Probability Model - Computational Aspects and Applications
*Robert Hable*

- How Can We Get New Knowledge?
*Frank Hampel*

- Dutch Books and Combinatorial Games
*Peter Harremoës*

- Characterizing Factuality in Normal Form Sequential Decision Making
*Nathan Huntley, Matthias Troffaes*

- Almost Probabilistic Assignments and Conditional Independence (a contribution to Dempster-Shafer theory of evidence)
*Radim Jirousek*

- On the Behavior of the Robust Bayesian Combination Operator and the Significance of Discounting
*Alexander Karlsson, Ronnie Johansson, Sten F Andler*

- Affinity and Continuity of Credal Set Operator
*Tomas Kroupa*

- Imprecise Probabilities from Imprecise Descriptions of Real Numbers
*Jonathan Lawry, Ines Gonzalez-Rodriguez, Yongchuan Tang*

- Reasoning with Imprecise Probabilistic Knowledge on Enzymes for Rapid Screening of Potential Substrates or Inhibitor Structures
*Weiru Liu, Anbu Yue*

- Noise Quantization via Possibilistic Filtering
*Kevin Loquin, Olivier Strauss*

- Nonparametric Predictive Multiple Comparisons with Censored Data and Competing Risks
*Tahani Maturi, Pauline Coolen-Schrijner, Frank Coolen*

- Object Association in the TBM Framework, Application to Vehicle Driving Aid
*David Mercier, Eric Lefevre*

- Natural Extension as a Limit of Regular Extensions
*Enrique Miranda, Marco Zaffalon*

- Duality Between Maximization of Expected Utility and Minimization of Relative Entropy When Probabilities are Imprecise
*Robert Nau, Victor Richmond Jose, Robert Winkler*

- The Pari-Mutuel Model
*Renato Pelessoni, Paolo Vicig, Marco Zaffalon*

- Interpretation and Computation of Alpha-Junctions for Combining Belief Functions
*Frédéric Pichon, Thierry Denoeux*

- On Solutions of Stochastic Differential Equations with Parameters Modelled by Random Sets
*Bernhard Schmelzer*

- Coefficients of Ergodicity for Imprecise Markov Chains
*Damjan kulj, Robert Hable*

- Buying and Selling Prices under Risk, Ambiguity and Conflict
*Michael Smithson*

- Statistical Inference for Interval Identified Parameters
*Joerg Stoye*

- Shifted Dirichlet Distributions as Second-Order Probability Distributions that Factors into Marginals
*David Sundgren, Love Ekenberg, Mats Danielson*

- Multi-Criteria Decision Making with a Special Type of Information About Importance of Groups of Criteria
*Lev Utkin*

- Combining Imprecise Bayesian and Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Reliability Growth Models
*Lev Utkin, Svetlana Zatenko, Frank Coolen*

- On Conditional Independence in Evidence Theory
*Jirina Vejnarova*

- Bayes Linear Analysis of Imprecision in Computer Models, with Application to Understanding Galaxy Formation
*Ian Vernon, Michael Goldstein*

- Threat and Control in Military Decision Making
*Christofer Waldenström, Love Ekenberg, Mats Danielson*