FIRST INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM ON
IMPRECISE PROBABILITIES AND THEIR APPLICATIONS

Ghent, Belgium
29 June - 2 July 1999

PRELIMINARY SCIENTIFIC PROGRAM



TUTORIALS (aimed primarily at students)

Tuesday 29 June 1999

08:00 - 10:00    Registration
10:00 - 12:00    Tutorial 1
An introduction to the mathematics of imprecise probabilities, Peter Walley
12:00 - 14:00    Lunch break
14:00 - 15:30    Tutorial 2
An introduction to Ellsberg's paradox, ambiguity aversion and related topics in experimental psychology, Michael Smithson (Australian National University).
15:30 - 16:00    Coffee break
16:00 - 18:00    Tutorial 3
Decision theories based on non-additive measures of uncertainty, Jean-Yves Jaffray (Université Pierre et Marie Curie, Paris 6)

SYMPOSIUM

Wednesday 30 June 1999

08:00 - 08:45    Registration
08:45 - 09:00    Opening session
09:00 - 10:00    Plenary session 1 (Decision making)
2 papers
10:00 - 10:30    Coffee break
10:30 - 12:00    Plenary session 2 (Decision making)
3 papers
12:00 - 13:30    Lunch break
13:30 - 14:30    Plenary session 3 (Decision making)
2 papers
14:30 - 15:30    Discussion session 1
How should people make decisions when their probabilities and/or utilities are imprecise, and how do they?
(Chairman: Mark Machina)
15:30 - 16:55    Coffee break + Poster session 1
10 papers
17:00 - ...         Guided tour at the town hall with reception

Thursday 1 July 1999

09:00 - 10:00    Plenary session 4 (Unifying concepts)
2 papers
10:00 - 10:30    Coffee break
10:30 - 11:30    Plenary session 5 (Unifying concepts)
2 papers
11:30 - 12:30    Discussion session 2
Prospects for a unified theory of imprecise probabilities: unifying concepts, a unified terminology, a canonical model, a general mathematical theory?
(Chairman: Robert Nau)
12:30 - 14:00    Lunch break
14:00 - 15:30    Plenary session 6 (Statistical inference)
3 papers
15:30 - 17:15    Coffee break + Poster session 2
12 papers
17:15 - 18:15    Plenary session 7 (Computational methods)
2 papers

19:00 - ...         Symposium banquet

Friday 2 July 1999

09:00 - 10:00    Plenary session 8 (Applications)
2 papers
10:00 - 10:30    Coffee break
10:30 - 11:30    Plenary session 9 (Applications)
2 papers
11:30 - 12:30    Discussion session 3
Applications of imprecise probabilities, present and future: in what fields can imprecise probabilities provide new insights?
(Chairman: George J. Klir)
12:30 - 14:00    Lunch break
14:00 - 15:30    Plenary session 10 (Desirability and second-order beliefs)
3 papers
15:30 - 16:00    Coffee break
16:00 - 17:00    Plenary session 11 (Betting and aggregation)
2 papers
17:00 - 18:00    Discussion session 4
The wonderful world of Imprecise Probabilities: Ideas towards a more integrated, more caring and more sharing community
(Chairman: Fabio G. Cozman)
18:00 - 18:15    Closing session

19:00 - ...         Guided tour around Ghent


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This page was created on 6 August 1998 and last updated on 25 June 1999.
Send any remarks to the following address: gert.decooman@rug.ac.be